PhD Economics, UCLA ยท Senior machine learning engineer

Economics, machine learning, and decision systems.

I build and study systems where measurement matters: experiments, causal inference, marketplace algorithms, production ML, and decision loops under uncertainty.

Projects

Selected work.

Short version: economics training, production ML, real marketplace systems, and independent AI products.

Instacart: growth, ads, and marketplace ML

Production ML across growth targeting, ads bidding, inventory availability, fulfillment decisioning, and marketplace systems.

Resume details

Microsoft Research: search auctions

Worked with Susan Athey on Bing search-auction counterfactuals, ranking rules, and marketplace revenue effects.

Research background

OpenClawBrain

Local agent memory and evidence-based continuity: what an AI assistant should remember, when to trust it, and how to prove what changed.

Product site

Bountiful Garden

Neighborhood produce-sharing marketplace. Product, trust, local coordination, and full-stack execution.

Live product

Project Pelican

Private autonomous research and decision system for options: data, forecasting, risk controls, execution, and monitoring.

Overview

Issued patent

Automated policy-function adjustment using reinforcement learning, tied to production bidding systems.

Patent PDF

Instacart

Growth, ads, and inventory systems.

Three areas where the work combined economics, production ML, and real marketplace feedback.

Ads Automated Bidding

Built Instacart's first optimized ads automated bidding system from scratch. Replaced manual product-keyword bids with weekly-budget bidding across roughly 70% of Sponsored Products spend, about $700M annualized.

Related patent

Growth Systems

Built the MVP for growth targeting from causal experiment outcomes. Ranked users by expected incremental treatment effect instead of naive conversion propensity.

Resume details

Inventory Intelligence

Built item-store availability and fulfillment ML across noisy catalog, store, shopper, and operational signals. Work included real-time LightGBM serving, calibration, rollout, monitoring, and critical-item prioritization.

Resume details

Writing

Technical explainers.

Long-form notes on architectures and decision systems.

Contact

Jonathan Gu

Senior Machine Learning Engineer & Economist II. San Francisco.